Why it’s colder here—because it’s warmer there

Sometimes attractive paradoxes don’t add up, but the one in the above title does! I noticed in “To Explain All This Cold, Take a Look At the Arctic” by Henry Fountain in the Jan. 4 New York Times (the online title “Why So Cold? Climate Change May Be Part of the Answer” is more to my purposes) that:

“The Arctic is not as cold as it used to be — the region is warming faster than any other — and studies suggest that this warming is weakening the jet stream, which ordinarily acts like a giant lasso, corralling cold air around the pole.”

The article goes on to explain that basically the polar vortex has been swinging farther south in winter on the jet stream even as summers are getting hotter, so that what I wrote in 2014 and 2011 (below) was right. Unfortunately, the person in the White House didn’t read that, because he recently tweeted (Time, 12/29/17): “Perhaps we could use a little bit of that good old Global Warming….”

The point is, this is what global warming looks like in winter. The NOAA map in the New York Times shows the traditionally roundish arctic vortex greatly distended south into the central US, as well as into northern Russia. Western Europe will doubtless get its share too.

So here’s what I wrote before:

Why it’s colder here—because it’s warmer there, Politics: A View from West Chester, 3/3/14

The current pattern, here in Pennsylvania, of unusually hot summers and unusually cold winters, is surprising us all. But it shouldn’t, as it has been going on for several years.

We tend to think our own weather sets the worldwide trend. The forecast for tonight in West Chester is for -1 degrees. How about Anchorage, Alaska? A balmy 21 degrees! That extremely random sample bears out the premise of what you are about to read.

I’m going to repost what I still see as the reasonable explanation for the climatic weirdness of our time, from a blog I wrote three years ago, “Why it’s colder here—because it’s warmer there,” in February 2011:

I just heard an interesting interview by Robin Young, “Scientists Blame Dramatic Weather On Weakening ‘Arctic Fence,’” Here and Now, 2/3/11. Listen there; here’s the online description:

Many parts of Europe and the U.S. have seen unusual snowstorms and frigid temperatures for two years in a row. But places like northern Canada and Greenland have seen temperatures that in some months are running 15 to 20 degrees above average.

The reason, some researchers say, is a weakening “vortex,” a kind of atmospheric fence, that normally keeps cold air up north and warmer air south. We speak with Justin Gillis, who covers climate issues for the New York Times, about why the weather world seems to have flipped upside down.

The interview brings out that the jet stream, which normally circles the North Pole from west to east, currently is dipping down to visit us, one factor in the disrupted weather patterns the world has seen lately.

People tend to have short memories. Many of us have probably stepped outside the last few weeks and exclaimed: “Well, global warming is over, at least!”

Not likely: the program mentioned that 2010 tied 2005 and 1998 as the warmest ever as a global average and 2010 saw the hottest summer ever in the Mid-Atlantic states. The globe has warmed by 1.4 degrees Fahrenheit in the last couple of centuries, most in the past 30 or 40 years, according to Justin Gillis. See his related New York Times article “Cold Jumps Arctic ‘Fence,’ Stoking Winter’s Fury.”

In sum, it seems quite likely that the weather is (somewhat) colder than usual here right now because it’s (a lot) warmer in the Arctic.

Find out more in “A ‘Bulge’ in Atmospheric Pressure Gives Us a Super-Cold Winter Amid Global Warming” by Christa Marshall and Tiffany Stecker, New York Times, 1/5/11:

…According to some climate scientists, the cold in places like Florida actually could be a sign of warming, rather than an argument against the phenomenon.

The ongoing disappearance of sea ice in the Arctic from elevated temperatures is a factor to changes in atmospheric pressure that control jet streams of air, explained James Overland, an oceanographer of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, or NOAA.

That is because ice-less ocean is darker and, thus, absorbs more solar heat, which in turn spews warmer air than average back into the Arctic atmosphere.

That unusually warm air can contribute to a “bulge” effect to the atmospheric pressure controlling how cold air flows, according to Overland, who works at NOAA’s Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory. Rather than moving circularly in the Arctic from west to east as typical, the bulge may prompt air to move in a U-shaped pattern down to the southern United States….

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Yes, Virginia, there is a US Congress but…

December 25, 2017

Dear Virginia and friends,

It has come to our attention that you may be wondering if there is a United States Congress.

“Why,” some of you are asking, “Should we believe in you when you don’t bring us any presents or do anything nice for us any more?”

Some of you are wondering if we really exist when children just like you go hungry at night, fall sick and can’t see a doctor, aren’t getting the education they need, and are being shot in malls and movie theaters.

Please, dear Children, be patient. Some day, you will understand how difficult it is to change anything in the business we work in. We need to check all our decisions in advance with our donors and sponsors, listen to what our party leaders tell us, and worry about keeping our jobs.

Those of you who, when you are our age, become politicians and millionaires like us will understand better.

And then, there are two of us, the House and the Senate, like your Mommy and Daddy, for those of you who have them. And we need to agree with each other before we can do anything. You know how that is, dear Children, it’s not easy. Can’t you just go to your rooms and play a video game and let us work on it?

And you know how it is when you’re at the playground: it isn’t easy to play nice in the sandbox. Some of the kids start quarreling about their toys and throwing sand at each other, and then they all divide up into two teams and things get nasty. But we know how throw sand in people’s eyes with the best of them, so there!

And if you’re not happy this year, just be glad it’s not next year, when we’re going to start carving away at your parents’ Social Security and Medicare and Medicaid, and your own health insurance too. If you don’t like it, go get a job.

One day you’ll be all grown up and we want you to know that we’ll always be there for you, and our thoughts and prayers are with you. And as soon as you turn 18, you’ll be paying for us to send you lots of mail, especially in election years.

With love,

Mitch and Paul

Posted in US House, US Senate | Tagged , | 1 Comment

“The Wisdom To Survive”

About 70 people gathered on Thursday evening December 7 to view “The Wisdom to Survive,” the final film of the fall in the West Chester University Environmental Sustainability Film Series in memory of Graham Hudgings.

The hour-long documentary at WCU’s new LEED gold-certified Business and Public Management Center was sponsored by Don’t Spray Me!, Sierra Club of Chester County, West Chester Food Co-op, WCU’s Office of Sustainability and Sustainability Advisory Council, the WCU Geography Club, and Chester County Citizens for Climate Protection (4CP).

Audience gathers for the film (Photo by Taka Nagai)

After snacks from the Food Co-op, a tour of the new LEED-certified building, and conversation over environmental exhibits, MC Sheila Burke introduced featured speaker Elizabeth Moro, Pennsbury resident and co-founder of Neighbors For Crebilly, which is striving to preserve the large farm south of West Chester as open space. A long-time supporter of environmental actions, Elizabeth was energized by the current political morass to the extent that she is running for the PA 7th U.S. Congressional seat.

Elizabeth explained that she grew up near Lake Huron, where she learned that “Mother Nature doesn’t negotiate – she’s in charge.” Humans used to work in harmony with nature, but now we need to get back to seeing the big picture that we are part of. Money is not a good way to evaluate importance. Try holding your breath, she told the group, and see at what point you’d rather draw a breath than collect money. She has helped raise funds to preserve part of the headwaters of the Brandywine near Honey Brook, Barnard’s Orchard in Pocopson, and now Crebilly Farm in Westtown.

She quoted Margaret Meade: ”Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has.” Thus, we need to stand together and be vocal. We also need to connect our actions to wisdom. In an ancient saying, “We don’t inherit the earth from our ancestors; we are borrowing it from our children.” We need to stay vigilant; money to protect the Great Lakes has been taken away; EPA reports have disappeared from online.

The movie, she said, is about our very survival, which depends on connecting with our surroundings. We need to look at earth as a human being and take care of it to preserve our common home.

To quote a non-profit where she worked in Michigan, “The Fetzer Institute is a growing community of people who see we’re part of something more. We believe the connection between the inner life of spirit and outer life of service and action holds the key to lasting change.” That is certainly a refreshing view as many today strive to practice the waning art of political service!

After Moderator Sheila Burke mentioned the upcoming talk on “Managing the Electric Grid” (Wed. Dec. 13 at Sykes Student Union, WCU) organized by this evening’s co-sponsor 4CP, the film rolled. It presented many thoughtful points in just under an hour.

“Beauty will save the world,” as one of Dostoevsky’s characters says. “We didn’t create species and we have no right to destroy them.” Fossil fuels made the West rich and are now killing us. Getting off fossil fuels will be the most difficult thing that humans have done. But we must: human-induced climate change is “a crime against humanity.” Even a tiny change in climate can wipe out marginal populations, and desperation leads to violence.

Los Angeles is utterly dependent on glaciers, which are disappearing. Oceans are becoming too acidic to support shell-making by many species, including plankton, on which many others depend.

Bill McKibben (350.org) says that economic equality is disabling us from dealing with fossil fuels. “We’re effectively killing ourselves.” The young get it, unlike the Exxon-Mobil CEO, who said: “My philosophy is to make money.” We are failing either to steward the earth (per the Old Testament) or love our neighbors (per the New Testament). Farmers (and women grow more than half the food but constitute 70% of the poor) are being colonized by corporate seeds and other products. The capitalist mentality is never satisfied. The cost of expanding at all costs will be our destruction.

We need to build a new economy and fight for public space. “Who owns the water when it reaches the land is the frog.” Whether we realize it or not, our actions are always in a web of interactions.

One hour of sunlight could fuel the world for a year… if we could capture the energy. We need a tough citizen movement, like the civil rights movement. This will be a painful transition. This is not a time to sleep!

Here are some points made in the discussion led by Professor Joan Welch of WCU. We live in a time of abundance and monoculture—and it’s not working. The price of carbon should build in secondary costs. We can’t put costs on the poor that they can’t bear. Some want to raise all to our economic level but we will need to go down some as well. Take down barriers to get to the source of wholeness. We can choose moral integrity or disaster.

Overall, it was a thoughtful community experience bringing together members of several activist groups. As the film mentioned, the human presence could be beneficial. At least, what can we lose from trying?

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Traveler’s Evening Song

Just feeling meditative, as the weather declines, days get shorter, and even younger people fall away from us.

J. W. von Goethe (1749-1832), Wanderers Nachtlied, II

Über allen Gipfeln
ist Ruh,
über allen Wipfeln
spürest du
kaum einen Hauch:
die Vögelein schweigen im Walde.
Warte nur! Balde
ruhest du auch.

Traveler’s Evening Song, II

Over all the hilltops
comes peace,
up in all the treetops
sounds cease;
there breathes only you:
the birds in the wood end their song.
Wait! Before long
you’ll be still too.

Or, take your pick, by Rita Dove, The New Yorker, 11/13/17:

Above the mountaintops
all is still.
Among the treetops
you can feel
barely a breath—
birds in the forest, stripped of song.
Just wait: before long
you, too, shall rest.

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Now what do I do with those political signs and wickets?

Winners exult, losers lament, and all of us wonder what to do with our growing collection of political signs and their metal support rods (AKA wickets).

They were so important to sway voters’ minds… maybe… and now??

If your candidate might ever run again for the same office, one or more years from now, save the sign in your garage or basement. A little rust won’t hurt; in fact, it makes them more secure in the ground and less easy for evil-doers to pull out.

256px-2008-08-03_White_German_Shepherd_supporting_Barack_ObamaPhoto by Ildar Sagdejev from Wikimedia Commons

You might wish to keep one sign as a memento of each campaign of historic importance… for a future collage on your garage wall, maybe?


• The sign, perched on its wicket and slanted at a judicious angle, is great for shading delicate plants and transplants from hot summer sun.

• A sign can also temporarily block holes in picket fences where rabbits and rodents might otherwise enter your back yard (e.g., while you’ve removed pickets for repainting).

• The paper or plastic part of signs makes a good paint drop cloth. Add more signs to cover more area. Or cut the plastic signs at the sides and fold them out to be twice as large.

• Lay plastic signs on the ground under your eaves to prevent water infiltration, and cover them with dirt or stones.

• In messy weather, use signs to protect carpet underfoot in your car (just be sure not to give a ride to the candidate in question during that time).

• The wicket is excellent for propping up floppy bushes and flowers. For lower plants, cut or bend the wicket supports. The type of wicket that looks like a ladder, with two prongs extending up into a corrugated sign, are great for supporting plants, which are held in place by the arms.

• Here’s a remedy for those clothes hangers that dry cleaners send back pants hanging on, and whose sticky cardboard crosspiece tends to sag on reuse: cut a piece of wicket to the right length and insert it inside the cardboard. That one won’t ever sag again!

• Use a wicket segment to stick between a window sash and the frame above (e.g., above an air conditioner) to prevent it from being raised from the outside.

• Insert wicket lengths between studs to hold up wall insulation and prevent sagging.

• I’ve used a wicket folded triple ply to insert inside a bamboo pole and then into a flag holder whose opening was too small for the bamboo. The metal made a strong link where wood and thinner bamboo had collapsed under the strain.

• To stitch together segments of chicken wire or garden netting to keep off birds and rodents, whether vertically or horizontally: straighten out a wicket (they are surprisingly long in a straight line) and thread the resulting steel rod through the two adjoining segments.

• In art works. No kidding, I’ve seen in museums what looked to me like vertical clumps of campaign wickets with pieces of wood or corks jammed onto them. Adaptive reuse at its most esthetic.

How to cut regular metal wickets by repeated bending? Some wickets are thinner and much more bendable than others. Be careful; use gloves and eye protection. It can be done by brute hand strength, or by pliers: bend repeatedly until the metal fatigues and breaks. Hack saws take too long; this is tough metal! I guess a bolt cutter would work.

If all adaptive reuse fails, an enterprising person or organization can collect wickets and sell them to the scrap yard for a few pennies a pound and the satisfaction of recycling metal and thereby reducing carbon emissions.

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Interview with Bret Binder

I had a chance last week to interview Bret Binder, an East Bradford attorney who is running for the position of Magisterial District Judge in West Bradford, East Bradford, and West Chester wards 3, 6, and 7.

Why are you running for MDJ?

Too many people have lost faith in the Pennsylvania judiciary because of a series of scandals from the Magisterial District Courts up to the Pennsylvania Supreme Court. Given that most people’s only experience with the law is in the Magisterial District Court, I would like to bring accountability, transparency, professionalism, and respect to this Court. I believe there is a chance to make a large impact in my community as well as to attempt to implement changes in the court itself that could help all Pennsylvanians receive a better, fairer judicial system.

What does an MDJ do?

A Magisterial District Judge handles small claims cases (under $12,000.00), landlord tenant cases, traffic citations, summary offenses, and emergency protection from abuse orders. He or she also issues arrest and search warrants and sets bail and rules on preliminary hearings for those charged with felonies and misdemeanor. These cases range from routine to quite serious and require a judge familiar with rules of procedure, evidence, and applicable federal, state, and local laws and regulations.

Why should the average voter care who is their MDJ?

Most people’s only court experience will be at the Magisterial District Court level, for either themselves or friends and family. People want their judge to have a deep knowledge of the law as well as empathy born of experience in representing clients in court and knowing the issues that face people going into what is often one of the most important experiences of their life. Although people can appeal decisions from the Magisterial District Court, most cannot afford the time and money to do so, and the Magistrate District Judge’s decision usually winds up being the final say. It is important for the Magistrate Judge to show a commitment to community and fight for changes to benefit citizens.

What background do MDJ’s need?

Currently, MDJ’s need to either have a law degree or take a four-week course and pass an exam. Recent cases like the Penn State hazing scandal, in which manslaughter charges were dismissed by a magistrate judge, highlight some of the important decisions that MDJ’s must make and the importance of having had the benefit of a full law school education and experience of practicing as an attorney. However, that background and experience is just as important for issuing a protection from abuse order, setting bail, and ruling on whether somebody is owed money or can stay in their home.

Why do you think your background is the better one in this race?

I do not fault the background of my opponent but believe our system is outdated in allowing non-attorney judges. I simply do not believe that an individual should rule on whether a felony case proceeds, decide a case involving somebody’s life savings, set bail, or any of the other important MDJ functions without the benefit of a law school education and having represented individuals and businesses in court.

I have been lucky to attend Villanova Law School on a partial scholarship, to clerk for the Pennsylvania Superior Court and Supreme Court, to run my own law firm for a decade representing a wide range of businesses and individuals, and to donate a significant amount of time in free legal work. In addition, I have been fortunate to be able to serve on the West Chester School Board, the Board of the Chester County OIC, and other local non-profits — giving me an insight into the variety of people that make up this district and their needs.

What did you learn from clerking for the PA Supreme Court?

My experience clerking for the PA Supreme Court may have been the most enjoyable of my career. Getting the chance to deliberate with the judges and discuss decisions that would affect the lives of Pennsylvanians was both weighty and exhilarating. At that level, you see the effects of lower court’s decisions in ways intended and not, the problems with poorly worded laws, and the need to approach every case thoroughly and with respect.

Actually, why isn’t a legal background required? Is that some historical fluke?

The role of this court has changed over the years, as have some of the practices. In Philadelphia, the judges used to keep a portion of the traffic fines! As this court has taken on more and more of an important role in the community, it is important that we keep up with the times by requiring that our judges all have thorough legal training, have graduated from law school, and have passed the PA bar exam.

We’ve all seen a lot of campaign signs around the area, especially for your race and West Chester Mayor; do you think signs are useful?

Signs are useful as a way of building name recognition; however, they don’t tell a message about the candidate. A voter can’t determine the educational or professional backgrounds of the candidate from a sign, but you can hope that voters are encouraged to seek out more information when they know the name of the candidate. They always say that signs don’t vote, so I do not believe that many signs are necessary — just enough to remind people who the candidates are.

We’ve all heard that elected office-holders sometimes use their position to pressure residents into endorsing them or displaying their signs; is that possible?

We’ve seen that issue arise in elected politics too often; Rob McCord may be the most high profile race where pressure was explicitly exerted when he reminded donors of his power as (then) State Treasurer. However, that pressure is often implicit in knowing that you may not get an audience with a lawmaker if you don’t donate or display their sign or knowing that a judge may not be as favorable to you if you don’t donate or display their sign. I certainly have had individuals tell me that they feel uncomfortable saying no to displaying a sign for a sitting judge or a sitting legislator, whether or not that individual meant to exert pressure or not.

Signs are being stolen, including from County Democratic headquarters, and police are investigating. Has that happened to your signs?

Unfortunately, like many other candidates, it has happened to my signs. Not to a tremendous extent but signs go missing, get thrown down in the grass, or are moved. I wish that there were a better and fairer method of governing the display of signs and monitoring who takes them. Unfortunately, that system doesn’t exist.

I saw that a local non-profit organization was displaying your opponent’s sign; I thought that wasn’t allowed.

Such a non-profit could be in danger of losing their tax-exempt status if they take part in political campaigning (unless they are a political PAC). I have had offers from non-profit groups with whom I am associated to display signs, highlight me at a function, etc., but I have always reminded them that it is not part of their permitted activities. I feel similarly about businesses that have offered to display my sign: although they may be allowed to do so, I fear that showing political favoritism (particularly in today’s environment) could only harm their business. I ask owners and employees that they support me as individuals and not as a business.

Some positions are term-limited; should that be the case for MDJ?

I think that it is important for new ideas to come into the system with many positions, including MDJ. When one starts a position, there is a passion and a search for innovation that are harder to maintain over the long haul. Additionally, I think it is important for an MDJ to have had recent experience arguing in court and remembering what is like to represent clients and to remember what those clients are experiencing.

Any closing thoughts?

I have gone to community events or knocked on doors almost every day since I started this campaign in February and I want to say thank you to all of my supporters as well as to all of those who support my opponent but gave me time to talk with them about the issues and the changes that I would like to see in our judicial system. I hope that some of my ideas for helping working individuals through expanded court hours outside of the work day, keeping children in school by having judges hold truancy court at the school, and expanding the veterans’ court program are adopted by others. It would be an honor to serve the community as its next Magisterial District Judge.

Posted in Law | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Moby-Dick and American democracy

Way back in high school, I had English teachers who were as obsessed with Moby-Dick as was Captain Ahab with the great white whale.

Rereading it now, I see a lot of things I missed before, like Herman Melville’s rhetorical mastery and variety, his sense of humor, and how well he represents the ethos and ideals of the middle of the 19th century.

1851, the year of Moby-Dick‘s publication, was only 75 years after our Declaration of Independence; the 166 years since 1851 have not laid to rest the deep-rooted issues of our history. But one can forgive Melville’s and his era’s youthful optimism when he writes (chapter 26):

“… [M]an, in the ideal, is so noble and so sparkling, such a grand and glowing creature, that over any ignominious blemish in him all his fellows should run to throw their costliest robes…. [T]his august dignity I treat of, is not the dignity of kings and robes, but that abounding dignity which has no robed investiture. Thou shalt see it shining in the arm that wields a pick or drives a spike; that democratic dignity which, on all hands, radiates without end from God….”

And in an almost Homeric passage: “If, then, to meanest mariners, and renegades and castaways, I shall hereafter ascribe high qualities,… then against all mortal critics bear me out in it, thou Just Spirit of Equality, which hast spread one royal mantle of humanity over all my kind! Bear me out in it, thou great democratic God!…”

Those were the days, when a novelist could ascribe greatness, to the point of a divine connection, to all men, without regard to race or class! (Yes, Moby-Dick is a story of men; whaling was not a profession open to women.)

Through his persona Ishmael, Melville expresses a true admiration for the accomplishments of men of all origins, brought together in the hardships of the sea, symbol of deep concentration of the mind and uplifting of the spirit. He pays particular tribute to the three harponers (chapter 27).

After Queequeg, a South Pacific islander, who is Ishmael’s friend to the point of sharing a room and bed (which was not uncommon in the inns of the time) and the enjoyment of a pipe fashioned from a tomahawk, we meet Tashtego, “an unmixed Indian from Gay Head, the most westerly promontory of Martha’s Vineyard,… an inheritor of the unvitiated blood of those proud warrior hunters.”

And then there is Daggoo, an African, a noble giant of a man: “There was a corporeal humility in looking up at him; and a white man standing before him seemed a white flag come to beg truce of a fortress.”

Melville notes that “at the present day not one in two of the many thousand men before the mast employed in the American whale fishery, are Americans born.” Native American (in today’s terminology), African, South Pacific native, crew members picked up in the Azores–all, to him, blend their efforts in a common enterprise.

I don’t mean to be nostalgic (and I hate to think of whales being killed for lamp oil or, today, pet food), but I am choosing this great American novel to contrast the spirit of a young democracy to whatever it is we have today, perhaps well symbolized by the malignant force that underlies the destructive white whale, an age of fear and loathing by all appearances… unless that Just Spirit of Equality and that great democratic God care to exercise their favorable influence among us, and quickly!

By I. W. Taber [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons, Moby Dick: Charles Scribner’s Sons, New York, 1902.

PS A subsequent article by Paul Street in truthdig, 10/18/17, depicts the whaling industry as akin to slavery for the sailors, rife with racism, and exploitative of both man and nature. Whatever the historical merits of the case may be, Melville’s message seems to me to be the fundamental brotherhood of men striving together to overcome a malign destiny and the underlying brutality of their own nature. as brilliantly shown in The aged black cook’s sermon (chapter 64) to his (and all of our) “fellow-critters,” the sharks.

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